Coming up with a sizable down payment is one of the key barriers to affording a home. Learning how to invest your down payment if you’re planning to buy a house is a whole other issue.
On the one hand, you want to invest your down payment conservatively so that’s it’s available once you find your ideal house. On the other hand, you would ideally like to invest your down payment so that it grows even bigger. With a bigger down payment, you can lower your monthly payments or buy a nicer house.
This article will give you a framework on how to invest your down payment based on when you plan to buy. The longer out the timeframe, the more aggressive you can invest your down payment and vice versa.
The demand for property is very strong because mortgage rates are at record-lows. Further, since we’re all spending a lot more time at home, we are utilizing our homes more. The intrinsic value of real estate has gone way up as a result.
The main variables in your down payment investment decision are: time, return, risk, existing cash, and cash flow.
Here are some assumptions to think about:
Everybody is at a different financial stage of their lives. Therefore, the one absolute variable we should focus on is the timing of your house purchase.
To follow my 30/30/3 home buying rule, everybody should have a minimum of 20% down payment plus a 5% – 10% cash buffer after the down payment.
If you do not have between 25% – 30% of the value of the house in cash, you cannot comfortably afford the house.
One of the main reasons why there was a housing crisis in 2008-2010 was because too many Americans put down 3% or less and didn’t have sufficient cash left over to pay their mortgage once they got their pay cut or lost their jobs.
Please don’t put your financial future at risk while also jeopardizing your neighbor’s financial future as well. Think of others.
Back then, many homeowners took out negative amortizing loans with no income verification and no down payments to be able to “afford” their homes.
If they had had a 5% – 10% cash cushion after putting down 20%, I’m certain the vast majority of homeowners who defaulted would have been able to keep up with their obligations.
Further, if homebuyers back pre-2007 had taken out adjustable rate mortgages, they would have found mortgage relief as their rates adjusted lower. Nowadays, lenders are quite strict. Lenders are mostly offering 30-year fixed, 15-year fixed, 5/1 ARM, and 7/1 ARM mortgage. The days of negative amortizing mortgages are long gone.
Please, if you do not have between 25% – 30% of the value of the house in cash before purchase, getting to at least 25% – 30% should be your #1 priority. Work longer. Save more. Ask the Bank of Mom & Dad for a gift like so many adults do in big cities nowadays.
There once was a time when the majority of Americans purchased property with 100% cash. Therefore, don’t think that it’s unfair you can’t buy a house without at least a 20% down payment.
Now that we’ve agreed on the down payment and cash buffer, let’s look at the main assumption: The closer you are to buying a house the less risk you should take.
I’ve divided the time of purchase into three segments:
You should carve out an investment portfolio specifically for your house purchase. Let’s call it your House Fund. Your House Fund is a separate after-tax portfolio from your pre-tax retirement funds like your 401(k), IRA, SEP IRA, Roth 401(k), 403(b), and so forth.
Compartmentalizing your investments for different purposes helps with motivation and risk-appropriate investing.
For example, you might be inclined to take more risk with your 401(k) since you won’t be able to tap it for 30 years. The same type of risk is probably inappropriate for your House Fund if the down payment is due next week.
Let’s say you’re just starting on your House Fund journey. You’re in your 20s and not quite sure where you want to live because you’re not quite sure what you want to do with your life. You know you’ll eventually want to settle down, but not until you find a stable career.
Five years away or longer sounds about right because you also need time to accumulate your 20% down payment plus 5% cash buffer. You take the median price of the homes you’d like to buy, multiply it by 25% to come up with your minimum House Fund goal.
So much can happen in five years that it’s impossible to know the future. You might not even want to buy a house five years later. Therefore, you should invest your House Fund as you would your retirement accounts based on your age or work experience.
Recessions generally don’t last longer than 18 months. Therefore, if your time horizon is truly five years or longer, you have time to make up for your losses through savings and investment returns. You should always have 6-12 months of cash in a separate account by the way.
You’re pretty certain that you plan to buy a house within the next 2-5 years. You’ve found a stable job, a nice city, and maybe even a love interest to settle down with. You’re excited about a future that is slowly getting clearer!
You’re now much more focused on ensuring your down payment is always increasing. Therefore, it’s only logical to dial back some risk.
At the same time, you might also be in the high growth phase of your career. Your income and savings have a tremendous ability to buffer investment losses in your House Fund.
You can adjust your House Fund investment allocation according to your financial health and your purchase time horizon.
If you’re bullish on your financial future and don’t plan to buy a house until year 4 or 5, then you can probably take maximum risk by going 100% in stocks.
On the other hand, if you work in an occupation with 0% – 3% annual wage growth in an industry facing structural declines, you may want to consider a maximum 50% stock allocation while boosting your cash allocation.
If you’re planning on buying a house with the next 24 months, it’s crunch time. You do not want to expose your down payment to potential market losses. Think what about how quickly the stock market turned down once the coronavirus pandemic hit.
Even if you think you’re still two years away from purchasing, because you’re so focused on buying a house, there’s a good chance you might buy one much earlier.
For those of you who have a high risk tolerance and who have very strong cash flow, I suggest limiting your House Fund stock exposure to no more than 25%. This way, even if your 25% goes down by 30% in a bear market, the most your House Fund will lose is 7.5%. But given you should earn roughly 2.5% from the remaining 75%, your House Fund won’t lose more than 6% in such a bear market scenario.
The positive of a bear market in stocks is that the house you’re looking to buy will almost certainly decline in value as well. If the house is declining in value greater than your House Fund is declining in value, you’re winning.
Your bond allocation should be completely in short-term Treasury bonds, e.g., 3-month is likely best. Because it usually takes 30-60 days to close on a house on average, you don’t want to tie up your money in longer-dated Treasury bonds. You can always sell before expiration, but by doing so you risk potential principal loss.
With money market accounts yielding under 1% nowadays, you can also have 100% of your House Fund in cash for maximum flexibility and security. Knowing that you will increase the value of your house down payment or full payment by at least 2% with zero risk is wonderful.
Buying a house can be a very emotional experience. There will be times when you put in your best offer and it’s simply not good enough due to price, down payment size, timing, a cold offer letter, or some other unknown reason. Chances are high that if you find your dream house, other people will like it too.
Therefore, it’s wise to make your down payment as strong as possible. You’ll already be stressed during the house purchase. You don’t want to add to your stress by worrying about whether your down payment is sufficiently attractive to the seller.
If you’ve never owned your primary residence, you’re in for a treat once you finally do. When you get your keys, you will experience a priceless feeling that nobody really talks about.
It’s an amazing feeling to own an asset that not only has the potential to go up in value, but also provides utility every day. I truly believe for most people, owning real estate is one of the easiest ways to build long term wealth.
In contrast, you will never be able to enjoy your stocks or your savings. But with real estate, you’ll be able to create wonderful experiences.
If you’re looking at specific recommendations on where to invest your down payment, here are some to consider:
Unfortunately, the average savings rate is no longer very high because the Fed slashed rates to 0%. That said, you can still get a relatively high savings rate with CIT Bank. Because CIT Bank is 100% online, it has less overhead costs and can pass its savings to its customers.
I wouldn’t get too fancy and pick individual stocks with your down payment money. I would simply buy an S&P 500 ETF like SPY, VTI, or IVV. They are all similar, low-cost ETFs.
As you get closer to your purchase date, I would invest more heavily in a treasury bond ETF like IEF. IEF is the 7-10-year Treasury Bond ETF that is relatively stable. You can also go to the Treasury department and buy shorter-term Treasuries directly.
Finally, real estate crowdfunding is a great way to participate in real estate’s upside while you wait. You don’t want to be left behind in case real estate does well during your search period.
Take a look at Fundrise, one of the largest real estate crowdfunding platforms today. It’s free to sign up and explore. You can diversify across many properties in an eFund with as little as $500. Fundrise has historically provided very steady returns, no matter what the stock market does.
When I sold my investment property in 2021, I reinvested $550,000 of the proceeds in real estate crowdfunding to earn income passively.
If you are an accredited investor, take a look at CrowdStreet. CrowdStreet provides a way for accredited investors to invest in individual real estate opportunities mostly in 18-hour cities. 18-hour cities are secondary cities with lower valuations, higher rental yields, and potentially higher growth due to job growth and demographic trends.
Both platforms are free to sign up an explore.